BTC 30-day realized volatility has dropped to 42% — near 18-month lows — while term structure shows options traders pricing in a volatility expansion. When realized vol is this compressed, large moves in either direction within 30–60 days follow in 78% of historical cases since 2020.
Key Takeaways
- Category: Analysis
- Published: Mar 19, 2026 10:00 UTC
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